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Last year, I had 65 percent correct. Happy New Year, everyone!



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12 Responses to Ten Predictions for 2016

  1. January 1, 2016 at 9:16 am andrew responds:

    I hope uber/Lyft come/return. More so because I’m looking for a second job I can work on my own time rather than as a rider, but still.

  2. January 1, 2016 at 9:49 am Kmannkoopa responds:

    Although I despise them (they just suck money from a community), it strikes me that the former RG&E Beebee plant in High Falls would make a great casino location and not much else due to environmental remediation costs.

  3. January 1, 2016 at 11:02 am Bob Schriever responds:

    Love the one about the Photonics Institute of Higher Squabbling.

  4. January 1, 2016 at 11:51 am rochester_veteran responds:

    I do hope your prediction that Uber and Lyft will be allowed in Upstate NY comes true. Last June, my wife and I were flying out to Denver to visit with our son and daughter in law and due to bad storms at our connecting airport in Baltimore, our flight was cancelled. It was past 11pm and our family members were unavailable to pick us up and take us home, so we took a taxi cab home. That 10 mile trip cost us $41! What a ripoff! Uber would be a much better alternative.

    Concerning you predictions of the performing arts theater and the casino, the City could tie the two together by offering the Senecas a place to build the casino at Midtown with the contingency that they provide an adjoining performing arts center, thus relieving taxpayers of the burden of paying for the performing arts center.

    Happy New Year, Rachel!

  5. Rather clever on the last one, that “biggest fish.” If the gov is indicted, at least it will save us from the man who feels everything he says is far, far more effective if shouted rather than merely spoken.

  6. Red light cameras stay. My only prediction.

  7. With a 65% score for last year, you could be valedictorian at a City school.

    All kidding aside you put together a good list. It will be interesting to watch during 2016.
    I hope you’re right on #10 and I think DragonFlyEye is right on the cameras – they bring in too much money to just cut the program.

    I’m looking forward to seeing more of `The Rochesterian’ this year!

  8. January 4, 2016 at 11:16 am Some Guy responds:

    Great list. It’s always nice to hear at least one person in the media provide a much-needed reality check on the inevitable Photonics bust.

    Re: city red light cameras; multiple RedFlex executives have already been convicted of felony bribery charges against public officials elsewhere, and a former high-ranking employee of Lovely Warren’s political patron, David Gantt, was their lobbyist in Rochester. Here’s hoping Adam McFadden’s righteous outrage against government victimizing the poorest people in the region actually gets the cameras out for good, as well as for people in poor neighborhoods who can also least afford an MVA and are most likely to be driving without insurance and/or a valid license, to be a little more responsible when behind the wheel. The total lack of due process still doesn’t change the hard truth that prove a good many Rochesterians need a great deal of remedial driver’s education with a responsible person that probably never existed in the tragic lives of so many people victimized by the very system that incentivized their pathologies.

    Got to disagree on the “Performing Arts Center”, which thankfully will continue to go nowhere, as it is really just another way of saying a gigantic 150% (overhead people, overhead…change orders are where the real money is!) taxpayer-funded bit of payola to the GOP’s advertising house of choice (Arne Rothschild just happens to run both Normal Communications AND the RBTL, the only tenant of such a theater as the rest of us know damn well “if you build it, they will come” is a line from a Kevin Costner movie, not reality for a region which has been getting markedly poorer than it was for more than a generation), and a top donor who just happens to be the principal of a large regional general contracting firm and has used government and school district largess to make up for the 25 year drought in actual private sector development around here. The sad thing is that in any other metro area, these interests are usually patrons of the Democrat party, which probably shows how far out of whack this region is ideologically, and that will only get worse as government becomes an even larger part of an increasingly perverse “pay-for-play” economy.

    Surprised to see nothing on the pending LDC case, which will be postponed yet again due to the retirement of the out of town acting State Supreme Court Justice who was presiding over the matter. With Michael Kelley as state’s evidence, the recent guilty plea by now cooperating witness John Maggio, the probable recent addition of husband and wife owner’s of an LDC subcontractor, who, unlike Wayne LeChase, only donated tens of thousands to the county GOP/Brooks campaign account (run for the benefit of Arne Rothschild!) during the election cycles that they were receiving oodles of taxpayer funds, things are going to get very interesting for those phonies from the Brooks admin who have the temerity to claim they were ever saving taxpayers money through their scams.

    The Doyle-influenced crew that is now back at 39 West Main will take months just to uncover the scale of the Racketeer-Influenced Corrupt Organization that was built since Brooks took over from Doyle more than a decade ago. I won’t predict whether retired State Supreme Court Justice and now #2 in the county, Tom VanStrydonck, will eventually recognize Vacco’s investigation of the LDC’s called for by Brooks was a total and complete sham, and force a real investigation into the totality of the graft on the nearly half-billion taxpayer dollars that were funneled through these corrupt entities. What will be real interesting to see is not whether, but how, lawyer to nearly every entity involved, Michael Townsend, is held to account for erecting what is basically a shadow government of people who could never hack it in the real world, and to what degree his firm, Harris Beach, gets exposed for doing the legal dirty work of many a government official in the region. Odds are Townsend will NOT be handling the sale of the Brooks-Weisner Florida condo to pay Wiesner’s legal bills (besides, it might be the case that Jim Nobles took it as payment for legal representation for Bob, and now lives in on the fees garnered in the Tan case).

    Oh, and local property taxes will still go up, leaving the Earth’s gravitational pull entirely. In terms of a percentage of median household income, the Soviet-esque government-employee unions always ensure they get more of yours than you do, and will find evermore mentally-ill patsies for whom to purchase ammonia and duct tape at Wal-Mart, label the mentally-ill patsy a terrorist, all the while extracting what wealth remains in the middle class at gunpoint, while remaining incapable of recognizing the irony of just who is the actual terrorist per Noah Webster.

    And the region’s U.S. attorney will continue to be the anti-hero to the crusading Preet Bharara downstate, continuing to run effective interference for his wife’s boss when it comes to completely ignoring the graft in the Buffalo Billion or the upstate edition of the “Hunger Games” ‘Five Year Economic Plans’ that the still un-indicted Andrew Cuomo has foisted upon the people, and most of the media somehow parrot as a good thing that is not intrinsically incapable of producing a desirable or ethical outcome.

  9. January 4, 2016 at 1:48 pm theodore kumlander responds:

    The RCSD has had a hard time keeping Superintendents for a very simple reason. The problems in the RCSD are such that no Superintendent ever looks good after being here. It does not look good on a Resume’ . So I predict Lovely Warren will solve the problem by putting the RCSD under Mayoral Control.

    Which maybe a good idea. Every Superintendent the Board has brought in has been from out of town with two goals 1. break the unions[not the problem] 2. privatize public education [charter schools] . So perhaps Lovely Warren who lives here and has lived here her whole life would be a better solution.

    Casino and a new theater downtown? I think it will be one or the other, and Casino will win.

    Photonics . Everyone is lining up to feed at that trough, but unlike the fast Ferry. Photonics stands a very good chance of actually turning out some very useful research and maybe a couple of products . This is, of course after everyone who Does Not actually do any research makes their money first.

    James Sheppard a legend in his own mind, and no one else’s.

    Brother Cuomo will slip the net. Though it now obvious why he disbanded the Ethics Commission he created. But he is pretty slippery. He could legalize Marijuana and get the youth vote and the rest of the people would forget about his corruption in their outrage over legalizing Weed.

    Annual predictions are always fun. 🙂

  10. January 26, 2016 at 12:45 pm Some Guy responds:

    Looks like Bob Wiesner just plead guilty to a felony antitrust crime:


    Now when will the MCC Board of Trustees terminate John Perrone’s employment as head of MCC’s Homeland Security Management Institute, for his involvement in this massive scheme that defrauded taxpayers of tens of millions of dollars?

  11. January 26, 2016 at 12:57 pm Some Guy responds:

    Why is his lawyer the same lawyer that all the LDC’s used? This issue should not go away quietly, if the people were aware of just how absurdly unnecessary most of the “work” funneled through these LDC’s truly is, they’d march on the county office building with torches and pitchforks.

    More about John Perrone:

    DOS ID #: 3284612
    Initial DOS Filing Date: NOVEMBER 22, 2005
    County: MONROE
    Jurisdiction: NEW YORK
    Current Entity Status: INACTIVE – Dissolution (Feb 06, 2014)

    Selected Entity Address Information DOS Process (Address to which DOS will mail process if accepted on behalf of the entity)
    Registered Agent


    American Security Consultants
    1 Bethnal Green
    Rochester, NY 14625 – View Map

    John Perrone

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