This week’s latest population data from the U.S. Census shows the number of people moving out of Monroe County is alarming. Their flight is barely made up by new births and immigrants.
Another census report shows some encouraging news – at first glance. This one focuses on the migration patterns of young adults, people ages 18 to 34, the so-called Millennials. The report finds Millennials with college degrees are most likely to move to another community. Young adults are more mobile than other age groups, presumably because they move to new places for college and career.
Here’s the shocker in the report.
Rochester is among the top three metros for young adults to move into. Yes, you read that right. Take a look at the chart below. It says nearly 60 percent of people who moved into the Rochester metro between 2010 and 2012 were between the ages of 18 and 34.
Another chart below breaks out 18 to 24-year-olds. They make up more than a third of the in-movers to Rochester. Again, Rochester ranks among the top-three.
Wow! Tons of young people are moving into Rochester! That’s amazing!
But wait. Here’s where things fall apart. Rochester is near the bottom in the country when it comes to 30 to 34-year-olds moving in. They make up only 7.6 percent of those coming to town.
What does this tell us? There’s not a lot of opportunity here for established adults. That’s why we’re seeing big domestic out-migration numbers. Since 2010, more than 13,000 people have packed up and left Monroe County.
The dramatic increase we’re seeing in young in-movers is because of our colleges. Then, these students leave. However, we shouldn’t necessarily view this as a “brain drain.” That’s because data shows the percentage of 18 to 34-year-olds in Rochester has remained steady over time. The goal shouldn’t be to keep all students in Rochester. That’s not realistic or sustainable.
The goal should be to attract established young adults from other communities, people who have graduated from college and find opportunity in Rochester. This comes down to jobs. We can do way, way better.
That’s our challenge.
Links of the Day:
– Monroe County schools have been shorted $443 million by the state.
– Rochester is cracking down on neighborhood bars, wanting them to close well before 2 a.m. But the state told the city it can’t do that.
– This is why SWAT-style drug raids have major issues.
– I actually have sympathy for this school principal, who got a DWI after a couple glasses of wine. (She’s a small woman.)
– This poor kid’s life is ruined for bringing a fake marijuana leaf to school.
Tweet of the Day:
Pilot on my @Delta flight announces he and co-pilot are ex-military and "we both have wives and kids and are very happy."
— Susan Davis (@DaviSusan) March 28, 2015