Crime has been declining for many years in Rochester, echoing a trend in cities across the country.
No one knows why this is happening. Criminologists have a wide range of theories, from the legalization of abortion, mass incarceration, reduction of lead paint, aging population, more police on the streets, reduction in crack use, increased use of psychiatric medications and technology keeping people inside. But there’s evidence to support and refute all of these theories.
But politicians don’t hesitate to take credit for the drop in crime. On Thursday, Mayor Lovely Warren said in her State of the City Address:
Our efforts at creating safer neighborhoods can best be seen by looking at the numbers, and the numbers I am referring to are the most recent crime stats, which I am unveiling here, tonight.
And the facts speak for themselves:
We have the lowest Violent Crime levels in 10 years and the 2nd lowest in 25 years.
- Part 1 Crime (which is how the FBI labels major crimes) is at its lowest level in 25 years.
- We have fewer than 11,000 Part 1 Crimes for the first time in 25 years.
- There has not been a single year from 1985 to 2012 when Part 1 numbers dropped below 12,000 and we are actually below 11,000.
- Robbery and Aggravated Assault are at 25-year lows, with robbery down over 20% from 2013.
- Property Crime — Burglary and Larceny — are all at their lowest rates in 25 years.
I am proud of these numbers. Aren’t all of you proud of these numbers too?
We deserve to be proud of these numbers. We deserve to take heart that crime and violence have been significantly reduced in our city.
The mayor is 100 percent right that we should be happy crime has declined, even if public perception hasn’t caught up to reality. The mayor is 100 percent right to promote these statistics.
But it’s truly difficult to say if Warren’s administration had anything to do with this drop, which started well before she came into office. Let’s just hope the trend continues.
Links of the Day:
– Cuomo is investigating ways to put schools into receivership. Local control would go away.
– I never understood why Del Smith was considered such a rock star. He had a very thin business resume and no government experience before heading up the city’s economic development efforts. It now appears he wasn’t committed to doing the hard work required to revitalize the city and wants to return to the world of academia. This was one out-of-the-box hire that was a big bust.
– I love every single line of this piece: “When did Americans decide that allowing our kids to be out of sight was a crime?”
Video of the Day: